Port Adelaide v Melbourne
2026-08-15 20:10:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

8.8

56

20.12

132

Melbourne won by 76 points

IN

Bamert

Georgiades

Jones

Richards

Byrne-Jones

Mead

Moraes

Lorenz

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		70%	18 points	✓	58.1	0.49
Aggregate		65%	15 points	✓	61.5	0.39
		86%	32 points	✓	43.7	0.78
		83%	26 points	✓	50.2	0.74
		82%	30 points	✓	46.3	0.72
		82%	25 points	✓	50.8	0.71
		81%	26 points	✓	49.9	0.69
		79%	28 points	✓	48.4	0.65
Punters		76%	26 points	✓	50.0	0.61
		73%	25 points	✓	51.0	0.55
		71%	23 points	✓	53.0	0.51
		71%	20 points	✓	56.3	0.50
		68%	15 points	✓	60.8	0.44
		65%	14 points	✓	62.2	0.39
		65%	12 points	✓	64.1	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	64.0	0.35
		63%	10 points	✓	66.0	0.33
		63%	10 points	✓	66.5	0.32
		62%	8 points	✓	67.6	0.32
		62%	12 points	✓	64.0	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	67.0	0.29
		60%	10 points	✓	65.9	0.26
		58%	11 points	✓	65.0	0.21
		58%	21 points	✓	55.0	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	69.8	0.20
		56%	6 points	✓	69.8	0.15
		54%	6 points	✓	70.2	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	73.0	0.09
		53%	2 points	✓	73.5	0.09
		52%	0 points	✗	76.3	-0.05
		57%	6 points	✗	82.0	-0.23

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.