Essendon v Sydney
2026-08-16 16:40:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

11.10

76

17.10

112

Sydney won by 36 points

IN

Jones

Clarke

Bryan

Durham

Johnson

El Achkar

OUT

IN

Rampe

Grundy

Melican

McLean

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		93%	51 points	✓	14.8	0.90
Aggregate		91%	49 points	✓	13.0	0.86
		98%	64 points	✓	28.4	0.97
		97%	57 points	✓	20.9	0.96
		96%	56 points	✓	20.4	0.94
		95%	55 points	✓	18.5	0.93
Punters		95%	61 points	✓	24.7	0.93
		95%	72 points	✓	36.0	0.93
		95%	52 points	✓	15.5	0.92
		94%	43 points	✓	6.9	0.92
		94%	57 points	✓	21.0	0.92
		94%	56 points	✓	20.0	0.91
		94%	43 points	✓	7.0	0.91
		93%	41 points	✓	5.2	0.89
		93%	52 points	✓	15.7	0.89
		92%	47 points	✓	11.4	0.89
		92%	49 points	✓	13.3	0.88
		92%	51 points	✓	15.0	0.87
		91%	51 points	✓	15.3	0.87
		90%	41 points	✓	5.0	0.85
		89%	47 points	✓	11.2	0.83
		88%	42 points	✓	6.0	0.82
		88%	40 points	✓	3.8	0.82
		88%	42 points	✓	6.0	0.82
		88%	37 points	✓	1.3	0.81
		87%	37 points	✓	1.0	0.81
		87%	51 points	✓	15.0	0.80
		85%	53 points	✓	17.0	0.77
		82%	40 points	✓	4.4	0.72
		82%	38 points	✓	2.4	0.71
		77%	45 points	✓	9.3	0.62

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.