North Melbourne v Geelong
2026-08-15 15:45:00 +10:00
Docklands

17.8

110

19.11

125

Geelong won by 15 points

IN

Edwards

Dangerfield

De Koning

Martin

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		72%	20 points	✓	4.8	0.53
Aggregate		74%	22 points	✓	7.4	0.56
		88%	43 points	✓	28.2	0.81
		87%	31 points	✓	16.0	0.80
		85%	31 points	✓	15.5	0.76
		84%	36 points	✓	21.0	0.75
		83%	32 points	✓	17.0	0.73
		80%	22 points	✓	7.1	0.67
		80%	27 points	✓	11.5	0.67
		79%	22 points	✓	6.5	0.65
		78%	26 points	✓	10.7	0.64
		78%	25 points	✓	9.5	0.64
		77%	30 points	✓	15.0	0.62
		77%	37 points	✓	22.0	0.62
		76%	22 points	✓	7.0	0.61
		74%	23 points	✓	8.5	0.56
		73%	25 points	✓	10.0	0.55
		72%	21 points	✓	6.0	0.52
		72%	19 points	✓	3.6	0.52
		71%	20 points	✓	5.3	0.51
		71%	23 points	✓	7.8	0.50
Punters		70%	18 points	✓	3.3	0.48
		70%	14 points	✓	0.6	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	2.2	0.47
		69%	22 points	✓	6.8	0.46
		68%	14 points	✓	0.8	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	1.1	0.43
		64%	12 points	✓	3.1	0.37
		61%	10 points	✓	5.0	0.29
		57%	5 points	✓	9.6	0.20
		55%	7 points	✓	8.1	0.13

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.