Adelaide v Gold Coast
2026-07-11 20:10:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

19.14

128

7.7

49

Adelaide won by 79 points

IN

Milera

Thilthorpe

Dowling

Hall-Kahan

OUT

IN

Adams

Graham

Long

Jepson

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		76%	22 points	✓	56.5	0.60
Aggregate		72%	20 points	✓	59.0	0.53
		86%	35 points	✓	44.0	0.78
		83%	25 points	✓	53.7	0.73
		82%	25 points	✓	54.2	0.71
		81%	33 points	✓	46.0	0.70
		80%	26 points	✓	53.2	0.68
		80%	26 points	✓	52.8	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	51.3	0.65
		79%	26 points	✓	52.6	0.65
		78%	23 points	✓	56.1	0.65
		76%	26 points	✓	53.5	0.60
Punters		75%	19 points	✓	59.8	0.58
		74%	21 points	✓	58.1	0.56
		72%	20 points	✓	58.8	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	57.9	0.52
		72%	19 points	✓	60.0	0.52
		72%	15 points	✓	64.5	0.52
		70%	10 points	✓	69.0	0.49
		70%	19 points	✓	60.0	0.49
		70%	16 points	✓	63.0	0.48
		69%	25 points	✓	54.0	0.46
		69%	22 points	✓	57.0	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	63.1	0.46
		68%	12 points	✓	66.5	0.44
		65%	13 points	✓	65.7	0.37
		65%	13 points	✓	66.0	0.37
		64%	15 points	✓	64.5	0.35
		61%	9 points	✓	70.0	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	70.0	0.27
		59%	13 points	✓	65.6	0.23

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.