Brisbane Lions v Essendon
2026-07-12 16:40:00 +10:00
Gabba

22.17

149

8.11

59

Brisbane Lions won by 90 points

IN

Zorko

McCluggage

Gardiner

Tunstill

OUT

IN

Kondogiannis

Clarke

Jones

Blakiston

Roberts

McKay

Setterfield

Ridley

El-Hawli

Cox

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		96%	59 points	✓	30.9	0.95
Aggregate		94%	56 points	✓	34.1	0.90
		98%	67 points	✓	23.1	0.98
		98%	57 points	✓	33.3	0.97
		98%	65 points	✓	25.4	0.97
		97%	65 points	✓	25.1	0.96
Punters		97%	64 points	✓	25.7	0.96
		97%	63 points	✓	27.5	0.96
		97%	59 points	✓	30.8	0.95
		96%	59 points	✓	31.2	0.95
		96%	66 points	✓	23.6	0.95
		96%	53 points	✓	37.5	0.95
		96%	60 points	✓	30.4	0.94
		96%	57 points	✓	33.5	0.93
		95%	75 points	✓	15.0	0.93
		95%	58 points	✓	32.0	0.93
		95%	44 points	✓	46.0	0.93
		95%	56 points	✓	34.1	0.92
		95%	61 points	✓	29.4	0.92
		94%	57 points	✓	33.0	0.91
		93%	52 points	✓	38.0	0.90
		93%	55 points	✓	34.7	0.90
		93%	53 points	✓	36.8	0.89
		93%	51 points	✓	39.2	0.89
		90%	43 points	✓	47.0	0.85
		89%	63 points	✓	27.0	0.84
		88%	38 points	✓	52.4	0.82
		88%	38 points	✓	52.0	0.81
		87%	50 points	✓	40.0	0.81
		87%	43 points	✓	47.0	0.80
		79%	51 points	✓	39.4	0.66

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.