Collingwood v North Melbourne
2026-07-10 19:40:00 +10:00
Docklands

13.11

89

12.13

85

Collingwood won by 4 points

IN

Pendlebury

Harrison

OUT

IN

Banch

Whitlock

Hardeman

Curtis

Wardlaw

Konstanty

Dawson

Goater

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		77%	23 points	✓	19.2	0.62
Aggregate		72%	20 points	✓	16.2	0.53
		87%	31 points	✓	26.5	0.79
		85%	28 points	✓	24.0	0.77
		80%	22 points	✓	17.7	0.67
		79%	38 points	✓	34.0	0.67
		79%	30 points	✓	26.0	0.66
		79%	28 points	✓	24.0	0.66
		78%	27 points	✓	22.6	0.65
		76%	23 points	✓	19.0	0.61
		76%	21 points	✓	17.5	0.61
		76%	22 points	✓	17.8	0.60
		76%	18 points	✓	13.9	0.60
		75%	22 points	✓	18.4	0.59
		75%	22 points	✓	17.8	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	18.6	0.57
		73%	18 points	✓	13.8	0.54
		72%	22 points	✓	18.0	0.53
		71%	19 points	✓	15.2	0.51
		71%	20 points	✓	16.4	0.51
		71%	18 points	✓	14.0	0.50
Punters		71%	18 points	✓	13.7	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	13.2	0.48
		69%	24 points	✓	20.0	0.47
		68%	16 points	✓	12.0	0.44
		68%	15 points	✓	11.0	0.44
		67%	20 points	✓	16.0	0.42
		66%	13 points	✓	8.9	0.39
		57%	7 points	✓	3.3	0.19
		54%	6 points	✓	1.9	0.11
		50%	1 point	✗	5.2	-0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.