Melbourne v Richmond
2026-07-12 15:15:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

16.15

111

9.11

65

Melbourne won by 46 points

IN

Johnson

Melksham

Fritsch

Petty

OUT

IN

Peucker

Grlj

Prestia

Ross

Short

Green

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		90%	42 points	✓	4.3	0.85
Aggregate		88%	40 points	✓	5.8	0.81
		95%	49 points	✓	3.0	0.93
		95%	44 points	✓	2.4	0.92
		94%	48 points	✓	1.5	0.90
		93%	47 points	✓	0.8	0.90
		93%	42 points	✓	4.0	0.90
		92%	40 points	✓	6.1	0.88
		92%	51 points	✓	4.6	0.87
		91%	46 points	✓	0.3	0.86
Punters		90%	41 points	✓	5.0	0.84
		89%	37 points	✓	9.2	0.84
		89%	39 points	✓	6.5	0.83
		89%	42 points	✓	4.4	0.83
		89%	39 points	✓	7.0	0.83
		89%	39 points	✓	6.6	0.83
		89%	44 points	✓	2.5	0.82
		88%	42 points	✓	3.6	0.82
		88%	36 points	✓	10.3	0.82
		87%	37 points	✓	9.0	0.81
		87%	42 points	✓	4.0	0.80
		87%	37 points	✓	9.0	0.79
		86%	36 points	✓	9.8	0.78
		86%	39 points	✓	6.8	0.78
		84%	41 points	✓	5.0	0.74
		83%	31 points	✓	15.0	0.73
		82%	44 points	✓	2.0	0.71
		81%	35 points	✓	11.0	0.70
		80%	30 points	✓	16.1	0.68
		80%	35 points	✓	10.7	0.67
		72%	36 points	✓	10.4	0.53

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.