Greater Western Sydney v Geelong
Sydney Showground
12.14
86
11.7
73
Greater Western Sydney won by 13 points
IN
Gothard
Laverde
O'Halloran
Whitfield
Stone
Delana
OUT
IN
Knevitt
Bowes
O'Connor
Edwards
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 17.6 | -0.18 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 19.9 | -0.25 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 30.6 | -0.68 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 26.4 | -0.59 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.53 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 26.4 | -0.53 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 25.6 | -0.52 |
|
|
64% | 9 points | ✗ | 22.4 | -0.49 |
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 23.5 | -0.43 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 22.2 | -0.35 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✗ | 20.4 | -0.35 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 22.4 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
58% | 13 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 19.3 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 19.6 | -0.20 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 19.3 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 13.9 | -0.04 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 13.3 | -0.01 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.4 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 9.8 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.13 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.