Port Adelaide v North Melbourne
2026-07-05 16:40:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

10.13

73

7.10

52

Port Adelaide won by 21 points

IN

Bergman

Wehr

OUT

IN

McDonald

Xerri

Duursma

Coleman-Jones

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		73%	19 points	✓	1.9	0.54
Aggregate		70%	17 points	✓	3.8	0.48
		82%	22 points	✓	1.4	0.72
		82%	29 points	✓	7.7	0.71
		80%	23 points	✓	1.5	0.67
		78%	25 points	✓	4.1	0.64
		77%	20 points	✓	1.0	0.62
		75%	23 points	✓	1.6	0.59
		74%	21 points	✓	0.2	0.57
		74%	18 points	✓	3.1	0.56
		73%	21 points	✓	0.4	0.55
		73%	23 points	✓	2.0	0.55
		72%	29 points	✓	8.0	0.53
		72%	20 points	✓	0.5	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	0.0	0.53
		71%	20 points	✓	1.0	0.51
		70%	9 points	✓	12.0	0.48
Punters		69%	15 points	✓	5.7	0.47
		69%	16 points	✓	4.7	0.46
		69%	18 points	✓	3.1	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	5.0	0.45
		65%	12 points	✓	9.4	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	9.2	0.35
		63%	14 points	✓	6.8	0.34
		63%	16 points	✓	5.0	0.33
		63%	20 points	✓	1.3	0.33
		62%	10 points	✓	11.1	0.31
		61%	10 points	✓	11.0	0.30
		61%	7 points	✓	14.0	0.28
		59%	7 points	✓	14.0	0.24
		56%	4 points	✓	17.2	0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.