Essendon v St Kilda
2026-07-05 15:15:00 +10:00
Docklands

7.8

50

17.15

117

St Kilda won by 67 points

IN

Cox

El-Hawli

Wright

Blakiston

Jones

El Achkar

OUT

IN

O'Connell

Travaglia

Henry

Phillipou

Sinclair

De Koning

Macrae

Butler

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		75%	21 points	✓	46.0	0.58
Aggregate		75%	23 points	✓	44.2	0.58
		84%	33 points	✓	34.0	0.75
		83%	33 points	✓	34.0	0.73
		81%	28 points	✓	38.6	0.69
		80%	31 points	✓	35.6	0.67
		79%	24 points	✓	42.6	0.66
		79%	28 points	✓	39.0	0.66
		79%	21 points	✓	46.0	0.66
		78%	21 points	✓	45.8	0.65
		78%	26 points	✓	41.0	0.65
		78%	25 points	✓	42.2	0.64
Punters		78%	26 points	✓	40.8	0.64
		76%	20 points	✓	47.5	0.59
		75%	22 points	✓	45.0	0.59
		74%	23 points	✓	44.0	0.57
		74%	24 points	✓	43.0	0.57
		73%	19 points	✓	48.0	0.55
		73%	20 points	✓	47.0	0.54
		72%	19 points	✓	48.1	0.53
		72%	29 points	✓	38.0	0.53
		72%	17 points	✓	50.0	0.53
		72%	18 points	✓	49.4	0.52
		72%	19 points	✓	47.9	0.52
		71%	23 points	✓	44.0	0.51
		70%	22 points	✓	44.7	0.49
		69%	16 points	✓	51.4	0.47
		69%	30 points	✓	36.6	0.47
		68%	16 points	✓	51.2	0.44
		68%	14 points	✓	52.7	0.43
		65%	15 points	✓	52.4	0.39

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.