Hawthorn v Melbourne
York Park
14.6
90
19.11
125
Melbourne won by 35 points
IN
McCabe
Mraz
Hill
Ryan
Gunston
Watson
Amon
Battle
Reeves
Dear
OUT
IN
Laurie
Pickett
Jiath
Petty
McDonald
Melksham
Cross
Kentfield
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 50.2 | -0.65 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 50.5 | -0.62 |
|
|
81% | 24 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -1.42 |
|
|
79% | 27 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -1.26 |
|
|
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 57.8 | -1.07 |
|
|
75% | 22 points | ✗ | 57.5 | -1.02 |
|
|
74% | 24 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
73% | 19 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.91 |
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.89 |
|
|
72% | 17 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.82 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.80 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 51.5 | -0.73 |
|
|
70% | 15 points | ✗ | 49.5 | -0.71 |
|
|
68% | 12 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 51.6 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 50.4 | -0.61 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 49.3 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.57 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 48.4 | -0.53 |
|
|
64% | 16 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.47 |
|
Punters
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 46.1 | -0.46 |
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 44.9 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 21 points | ✗ | 55.6 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 43.9 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 14 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.35 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 43.9 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 40.1 | -0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.