Gold Coast v Collingwood
Carrara
15.8
98
15.14
104
Collingwood won by 6 points
IN
Patterson
Read
Witts
Ballard
OUT
IN
Puncher
Anderson
Maynard
Pendlebury
Quaynor
Steele
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.2 | -0.08 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.3 | -0.11 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.35 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 15.5 | -0.35 |
|
Punters
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.4 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.6 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.6 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.9 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.4 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 11.9 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.6 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.7 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.7 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.6 | -0.13 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.7 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.07 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.22 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.