Richmond v Carlton
2026-07-04 19:35:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

10.12

72

10.14

74

Carlton won by 2 points

IN

McAuliffe

Lynch

Ralphsmith

Prestia

Rioli

Grlj

OUT

IN

Young

Hollands

Acres

Dean

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		85%	33 points	✓	30.7	0.77
Aggregate		84%	34 points	✓	32.2	0.75
		91%	47 points	✓	44.5	0.87
		90%	40 points	✓	38.0	0.85
		90%	39 points	✓	37.0	0.85
		90%	35 points	✓	32.8	0.84
		89%	37 points	✓	35.0	0.82
		88%	42 points	✓	40.0	0.82
		88%	37 points	✓	35.0	0.81
		87%	36 points	✓	33.9	0.80
		87%	30 points	✓	28.5	0.80
		87%	38 points	✓	36.0	0.80
		86%	40 points	✓	37.9	0.79
		86%	38 points	✓	36.0	0.78
		86%	34 points	✓	32.2	0.78
		85%	32 points	✓	29.5	0.76
		84%	30 points	✓	28.0	0.75
		84%	35 points	✓	33.1	0.75
		84%	47 points	✓	45.0	0.74
		84%	29 points	✓	26.5	0.74
		83%	30 points	✓	27.6	0.73
Punters		83%	32 points	✓	29.5	0.73
		82%	30 points	✓	28.0	0.72
		81%	28 points	✓	26.0	0.70
		81%	33 points	✓	31.2	0.69
		80%	28 points	✓	26.1	0.68
		79%	19 points	✓	17.4	0.66
		79%	34 points	✓	32.1	0.66
		77%	30 points	✓	28.0	0.62
		75%	25 points	✓	23.0	0.59
		73%	37 points	✓	35.2	0.54

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.