Geelong v Brisbane Lions
Kardinia Park
14.17
101
19.9
123
Brisbane Lions won by 22 points
IN
Stewart
Smith
Bowes
Stevens
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -0.56 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 37.9 | -0.62 |
|
|
80% | 27 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -1.34 |
|
|
79% | 26 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.26 |
|
|
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 45.3 | -1.07 |
|
|
75% | 25 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -1.02 |
|
|
73% | 32 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.88 |
|
|
73% | 21 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.87 |
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 42.4 | -0.82 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 41.6 | -0.81 |
|
|
71% | 16 points | ✗ | 37.6 | -0.79 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 37.9 | -0.66 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 36.5 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 12 points | ✗ | 34.2 | -0.62 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.61 |
|
|
67% | 19 points | ✗ | 40.5 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 34.5 | -0.58 |
|
Punters
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 36.2 | -0.57 |
|
|
65% | 6 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.52 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 34.3 | -0.50 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 33.8 | -0.50 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 34.3 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 17 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 31.7 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 8 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.42 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -0.23 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✗ | 31.3 | -0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.