Port Adelaide v Fremantle
2025-08-09 20:10:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

13.8

86

13.14

92

Fremantle won by 6 points

IN

Moraes

Lukosius

Rioli

Rozee

Burgoyne

Jones

Jackson

Williams

OUT

IN

Fyfe

Pearce

Young

McDonald

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		62%	12 points	✓	5.6	0.31
Aggregate		65%	14 points	✓	7.9	0.38
		95%	49 points	✓	43.0	0.93
		81%	25 points	✓	19.5	0.69
		77%	24 points	✓	17.9	0.61
		76%	28 points	✓	22.0	0.60
		75%	23 points	✓	17.2	0.58
Punters		73%	16 points	✓	10.4	0.55
		72%	20 points	✓	14.3	0.53
		72%	16 points	✓	9.9	0.53
		68%	19 points	✓	13.0	0.44
		66%	15 points	✓	9.2	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	6.5	0.39
		65%	13 points	✓	7.0	0.38
		64%	10 points	✓	4.1	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	4.8	0.34
		62%	10 points	✓	4.0	0.32
		62%	12 points	✓	5.9	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	3.5	0.28
		59%	12 points	✓	6.0	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	3.0	0.23
		58%	8 points	✓	1.9	0.21
		58%	7 points	✓	1.0	0.21
		57%	8 points	✓	2.0	0.19
		53%	4 points	✓	1.6	0.08
		51%	1 point	✓	5.5	0.01
		51%	1 point	✗	6.9	-0.03
		52%	1 point	✗	6.7	-0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.