Melbourne v Western Bulldogs @ M.C.G.

15.9

15.15

105

Western Bulldogs won by 6 points

Adams

Sharp

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	69%	17 points	✓	11.0	0.46
Aggregate	72%	21 points	✓	15.2	0.53
	86%	33 points	✓	27.1	0.78
	85%	36 points	✓	30.0	0.77
	81%	32 points	✓	26.0	0.70
	80%	31 points	✓	24.5	0.67
	78%	25 points	✓	18.8	0.64
	78%	31 points	✓	25.4	0.63
	76%	17 points	✓	11.0	0.61
	76%	28 points	✓	22.0	0.60
Punters	74%	24 points	✓	18.1	0.57
	74%	23 points	✓	16.9	0.57
	73%	23 points	✓	16.6	0.55
	73%	20 points	✓	14.4	0.55
	73%	32 points	✓	26.0	0.55
	73%	22 points	✓	15.5	0.54
	72%	21 points	✓	14.6	0.54
	72%	17 points	✓	11.3	0.53
	70%	11 points	✓	4.5	0.49
	69%	18 points	✓	12.3	0.47
	69%	19 points	✓	13.0	0.47
	68%	18 points	✓	12.4	0.44
	65%	16 points	✓	10.0	0.38
	65%	15 points	✓	9.2	0.37
	64%	12 points	✓	6.1	0.35
	63%	10 points	✓	4.0	0.32
	58%	9 points	✓	2.5	0.22
	58%	8 points	✓	1.8	0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.