Carlton v Gold Coast
2025-08-09 19:35:00 +10:00
Docklands

11.8

74

13.15

93

Gold Coast won by 19 points

IN

O'Keeffe

Wilson

Pittonet

O'Farrell

OUT

IN

Rosas

Flanders

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		66%	15 points	✓	3.6	0.39
Aggregate		68%	17 points	✓	1.5	0.45
		95%	46 points	✓	27.0	0.93
		85%	31 points	✓	11.9	0.77
		80%	29 points	✓	10.3	0.67
		77%	29 points	✓	10.0	0.62
Punters		77%	25 points	✓	6.4	0.62
		76%	23 points	✓	4.4	0.61
		74%	23 points	✓	4.0	0.57
		74%	17 points	✓	1.6	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	3.1	0.55
		72%	20 points	✓	0.7	0.52
		70%	16 points	✓	3.2	0.49
		70%	16 points	✓	3.5	0.48
		69%	20 points	✓	0.6	0.46
		66%	17 points	✓	2.2	0.40
		65%	13 points	✓	5.6	0.37
		65%	12 points	✓	7.0	0.37
		64%	15 points	✓	4.0	0.36
		64%	13 points	✓	6.2	0.35
		63%	16 points	✓	3.0	0.32
		61%	9 points	✓	10.0	0.28
		61%	9 points	✓	10.0	0.28
		61%	11 points	✓	8.3	0.28
		60%	16 points	✓	3.0	0.27
		55%	6 points	✓	12.9	0.14
		51%	1 point	✓	18.1	0.03
		50%	0 points	✗	19.2	-0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.