Richmond v St Kilda
2025-08-09 13:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

7.10

52

8.8

56

St Kilda won by 4 points

IN

Lynch

Broad

Taranto

Trainor

Faull

Sims

OUT

IN

Phillipou

Henry

Wilson

Owens

Byrnes

Hastie

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	14 points	✓	9.5	0.37
Aggregate		68%	17 points	✓	12.7	0.44
		85%	33 points	✓	29.0	0.77
		79%	32 points	✓	28.0	0.66
		77%	23 points	✓	18.6	0.63
		75%	24 points	✓	20.0	0.58
		75%	24 points	✓	20.1	0.58
		74%	25 points	✓	21.0	0.57
Punters		72%	19 points	✓	15.1	0.52
		70%	17 points	✓	13.2	0.49
		70%	19 points	✓	15.2	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	12.9	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	13.4	0.47
		69%	15 points	✓	11.2	0.46
		69%	23 points	✓	19.0	0.45
		69%	15 points	✓	10.5	0.45
		68%	20 points	✓	16.0	0.45
		66%	17 points	✓	13.0	0.40
		65%	15 points	✓	11.3	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	9.8	0.37
		64%	14 points	✓	10.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	8.0	0.35
		61%	5 points	✓	1.2	0.28
		59%	8 points	✓	4.0	0.25
		58%	6 points	✓	2.4	0.21
		57%	8 points	✓	3.5	0.20
		56%	5 points	✓	0.8	0.18
		56%	6 points	✓	2.1	0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.