Geelong v Essendon @ Kardinia Park

15.19

109

10.5

Geelong won by 44 points

Knevitt

Clark

Dangerfield

Martin

OUT

Menzie

Smartt

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	92%	51 points	✓	7.4	0.88
Aggregate	92%	52 points	✓	8.4	0.87
	99%	70 points	✓	26.4	0.98
Punters	98%	70 points	✓	26.4	0.97
	97%	62 points	✓	18.2	0.96
	96%	71 points	✓	26.8	0.95
	96%	64 points	✓	20.0	0.94
	95%	70 points	✓	26.0	0.93
	95%	56 points	✓	12.0	0.93
	95%	65 points	✓	20.6	0.92
	95%	56 points	✓	12.4	0.92
	95%	56 points	✓	11.5	0.92
	94%	59 points	✓	14.6	0.91
	94%	49 points	✓	5.5	0.91
	93%	48 points	✓	4.0	0.90
	93%	53 points	✓	9.0	0.90
	93%	45 points	✓	0.5	0.89
	92%	52 points	✓	8.2	0.88
	92%	35 points	✓	8.8	0.88
	91%	49 points	✓	5.2	0.87
	91%	57 points	✓	13.2	0.87
	89%	49 points	✓	4.9	0.83
	88%	38 points	✓	5.8	0.82
	87%	49 points	✓	4.8	0.81
	87%	55 points	✓	11.0	0.80
	83%	28 points	✓	16.0	0.73
	83%	32 points	✓	12.0	0.73
	71%	23 points	✓	21.1	0.51

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.