Hawthorn v Collingwood

M.C.G.
17.8
110
6.10
46

Hawthorn won by 64 points

IN
Breust
Jiath
Day
Morrison
OUT
IN
Mitchell
Frampton
Howe
Hill
Markov
Dean
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Collingwood
52% 2 points 65.5-0.07
Aggregate
Collingwood
54% 3 points 67.4-0.12
Informed Stats
Collingwood
72% 21 points 85.0-0.84
The Cruncher
Collingwood
63% 10 points 73.9-0.45
Cheap Stats
Collingwood
62% 11 points 75.0-0.40
Winnable
Collingwood
61% 8 points 72.5-0.37
What Snoo Thinks
Collingwood
61% 9 points 73.1-0.36
Glicko Ratings
Collingwood
61% 10 points 73.6-0.36
AFL Lab
Collingwood
58% 8 points 71.7-0.26
Drop Kick Data
Collingwood
57% 6 points 70.5-0.23
Punters
Collingwood
57% 7 points 70.6-0.23
Squiggle
Collingwood
57% 6 points 69.9-0.23
AFLalytics
Collingwood
57% 6 points 70.1-0.23
Elo Predicts!
Collingwood
57% 1 point 65.0-0.21
The Footycast
Collingwood
56% 6 points 69.8-0.18
Wheelo Ratings
Collingwood
53% 3 points 66.6-0.09
The Wooden Finger
Collingwood
53% 2 points 66.0-0.09
Matter of Stats
Collingwood
53% 2 points 66.4-0.08
Stattraction
Collingwood
53% 3 points 66.6-0.08
footycharts
Collingwood
51% 2 points 66.5-0.02
Don't Blame the Data
Hawthorn
50% 0 points 63.90.00
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
51% 0 points 64.00.01
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
52% 2 points 62.30.05
Graft
Hawthorn
53% 4 points 60.00.08
Massey Ratings
Hawthorn
56% 4 points 60.50.15
Hyperion
Hawthorn
56% 3 points 61.00.16
ZaphBot
Hawthorn
61% 12 points 52.00.29
AFL Scorigami
Hawthorn
63% 7 points 56.60.33

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 22, 2025