Fremantle v Hawthorn
Perth Stadium
12.5
77
9.10
64
Fremantle won by 13 points
IN
McDonald
Switkowski
Pearce
Erasmus
OUT
IN
Dear
Maginness
Mitchell
Ramsden
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.1 | 0.05 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 10.7 | 0.08 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 3.1 | 0.30 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 3.4 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 2.6 | 0.27 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.4 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 7.2 | 0.20 |
|
|
55% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.15 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 10.2 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 10.6 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 10.7 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.1 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 11.9 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 14.4 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 14.7 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 15.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 15.2 | -0.11 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.