Western Bulldogs v Adelaide
Docklands
15.8
98
16.13
109
Adelaide won by 11 points
IN
Dolan
Davidson
McNeil
Duryea
OUT
IN
Cook
Jones
Milera
Rachele
Smith
Murphy
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 20.6 | -0.40 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 24.4 | -0.51 |
|
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -1.06 |
|
|
74% | 19 points | ✗ | 30.4 | -0.96 |
|
|
74% | 19 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.92 |
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 33.5 | -0.91 |
|
|
73% | 19 points | ✗ | 30.5 | -0.88 |
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 31.7 | -0.83 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 31.2 | -0.80 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 29.2 | -0.73 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 28.4 | -0.66 |
|
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 28.9 | -0.61 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 24.8 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 24.6 | -0.55 |
|
|
64% | 18 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.47 |
|
Punters
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 1 point | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 21.9 | -0.37 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 18.5 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.