Gold Coast v Collingwood
Carrara
10.9
69
8.15
63
Gold Coast won by 6 points
IN
Swallow
Witts
Moyle
Sexton
OUT
IN
Cox
Schultz
Sidebottom
Lipinski
Mihocek
Parker
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.08 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.5 | -0.08 |
|
|
63% | 9 points | ✗ | 15.3 | -0.41 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 15.2 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 11 points | ✗ | 16.6 | -0.33 |
|
|
58% | 13 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.6 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.3 | -0.08 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 7.3 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.7 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 5.5 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 5.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 5.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.9 | 0.06 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.7 | 0.11 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 1.3 | 0.22 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.