Richmond v Essendon
M.C.G.
6.10
46
4.13
37
Richmond won by 9 points
IN
Hotton
Young
Koschitzke
Trezise
Short
Balta
Ralphsmith
Lalor
Blight
Alger
OUT
IN
Smartt
Tsatas
Redman
Caldwell
Gresham
Perkins
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 18.1 | -0.32 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.41 |
|
|
70% | 21 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
68% | 14 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.66 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.63 |
|
Punters
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.62 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 25.7 | -0.61 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.61 |
|
|
66% | 12 points | ✗ | 20.9 | -0.55 |
|
|
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 25.2 | -0.53 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 18 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.50 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.48 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 20.7 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 21.4 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 20.6 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 19.8 | -0.41 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 19.6 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 17.3 | -0.35 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 17.9 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 17.3 | -0.30 |
|
|
57% | 2 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 13.3 | -0.13 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.