Greater Western Sydney v Geelong
Sydney Showground
17.9
111
13.7
85
Greater Western Sydney won by 26 points
IN
Whitfield
Hogan
Gruzewski
Leake
OUT
IN
Smith
Duncan
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 34.2 | -0.27 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 33.3 | -0.24 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 42.8 | -0.74 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 39.9 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 38.5 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 37.4 | -0.45 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 35.1 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 37.9 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 35.1 | -0.34 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 34.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 33.5 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 31.6 | -0.22 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 31.9 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 31.6 | -0.17 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 28.1 | -0.10 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 9 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 27.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 26.7 | -0.02 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.