Carlton v Brisbane Lions
2025-07-10 19:30:00 +10:00
Docklands

9.12

66

15.13

103

Brisbane Lions won by 37 points

IN

Durdin

Cincotta

Acres

Evans

OUT

IN

McInerney

Day

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	16 points	✓	20.6	0.42
Aggregate		67%	15 points	✓	21.6	0.41
Punters		82%	29 points	✓	7.8	0.71
		81%	29 points	✓	8.0	0.70
		75%	20 points	✓	16.6	0.59
		74%	25 points	✓	12.0	0.57
		74%	21 points	✓	15.8	0.56
		73%	25 points	✓	12.0	0.55
		73%	18 points	✓	19.0	0.54
		73%	21 points	✓	16.0	0.54
		70%	13 points	✓	24.4	0.48
		70%	16 points	✓	21.5	0.48
		68%	16 points	✓	21.0	0.44
		68%	22 points	✓	15.0	0.43
		67%	16 points	✓	20.6	0.42
		67%	16 points	✓	20.8	0.42
		67%	15 points	✓	21.6	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	22.4	0.41
		65%	13 points	✓	24.0	0.38
		65%	15 points	✓	22.0	0.37
		61%	10 points	✓	26.8	0.29
		61%	12 points	✓	25.5	0.29
		60%	12 points	✓	25.0	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	29.4	0.23
		57%	8 points	✓	29.1	0.20
		56%	5 points	✓	32.0	0.16
		51%	1 point	✓	36.5	0.01
		51%	1 point	✗	37.9	-0.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.