Adelaide v Melbourne
2025-07-06 15:20:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

13.12

90

11.11

77

Adelaide won by 13 points

IN

Taylor

Milera

OUT

IN

van Rooyen

Lever

Petty

Howes

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		77%	25 points	✓	12.3	0.62
Aggregate		76%	25 points	✓	12.3	0.61
		87%	37 points	✓	24.0	0.80
		86%	39 points	✓	26.0	0.78
		85%	31 points	✓	17.8	0.77
		84%	30 points	✓	16.5	0.74
Punters		83%	29 points	✓	16.1	0.73
		80%	20 points	✓	6.6	0.69
		80%	40 points	✓	27.0	0.68
		80%	33 points	✓	20.0	0.68
		79%	27 points	✓	14.0	0.66
		78%	32 points	✓	19.2	0.64
		77%	25 points	✓	11.8	0.62
		76%	17 points	✓	4.0	0.61
		76%	25 points	✓	12.0	0.61
		76%	25 points	✓	12.0	0.60
		76%	21 points	✓	7.9	0.60
		76%	25 points	✓	11.6	0.60
		74%	22 points	✓	9.1	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	9.2	0.55
		72%	27 points	✓	14.0	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	7.9	0.52
		71%	20 points	✓	6.5	0.52
		71%	21 points	✓	7.5	0.51
		70%	19 points	✓	6.0	0.49
		69%	16 points	✓	2.9	0.46
		69%	20 points	✓	6.7	0.46
		67%	17 points	✓	4.3	0.41

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.