Essendon v Gold Coast
2025-07-05 12:35:00 +10:00
Docklands

11.8

74

18.7

115

Gold Coast won by 41 points

IN

Ridley

Goldstein

Durham

Parish

Guelfi

Visentini

OUT

IN

Adams

Moyle

Witts

Collins

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	15 points	✓	26.0	0.37
Aggregate		67%	16 points	✓	24.6	0.42
		82%	32 points	✓	9.0	0.71
		76%	27 points	✓	14.1	0.61
		76%	19 points	✓	21.6	0.60
		73%	22 points	✓	19.3	0.55
		73%	24 points	✓	17.0	0.55
		73%	18 points	✓	23.1	0.54
Punters		72%	20 points	✓	20.9	0.53
		72%	21 points	✓	20.0	0.53
		72%	19 points	✓	21.6	0.52
		72%	19 points	✓	22.5	0.52
		71%	20 points	✓	21.4	0.50
		70%	15 points	✓	25.6	0.48
		69%	18 points	✓	23.0	0.47
		69%	21 points	✓	20.0	0.46
		67%	18 points	✓	23.4	0.42
		67%	14 points	✓	27.1	0.42
		66%	17 points	✓	24.4	0.40
		66%	14 points	✓	27.2	0.39
		66%	13 points	✓	28.0	0.39
		63%	16 points	✓	25.0	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	30.0	0.33
		61%	11 points	✓	30.5	0.29
		59%	18 points	✓	23.0	0.23
		52%	2 points	✓	39.0	0.06
		51%	1 point	✓	39.9	0.03
		54%	3 points	✗	44.4	-0.10

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.