Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide
2025-07-05 19:35:00 +10:00
Gabba

18.12

120

14.8

92

Brisbane Lions won by 28 points

IN

Gardiner

Ah Chee

Reville

McLachlan

OUT

IN

Lukosius

Wines

Evans

Liddy

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		77%	25 points	✓	3.1	0.62
Aggregate		77%	26 points	✓	1.6	0.63
		86%	39 points	✓	10.8	0.79
		83%	36 points	✓	8.0	0.74
		82%	28 points	✓	0.3	0.72
Punters		81%	27 points	✓	0.9	0.70
		80%	30 points	✓	2.0	0.68
		80%	29 points	✓	1.3	0.68
		80%	25 points	✓	3.1	0.67
		79%	26 points	✓	1.7	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	0.3	0.66
		79%	21 points	✓	7.0	0.66
		78%	31 points	✓	3.0	0.64
		77%	26 points	✓	1.9	0.62
		77%	25 points	✓	2.9	0.62
		77%	27 points	✓	1.3	0.61
		77%	24 points	✓	4.0	0.61
		77%	22 points	✓	6.5	0.61
		76%	16 points	✓	12.4	0.61
		76%	27 points	✓	1.0	0.60
		76%	26 points	✓	2.4	0.60
		76%	24 points	✓	4.5	0.60
		75%	31 points	✓	3.0	0.58
		75%	31 points	✓	3.0	0.58
		74%	26 points	✓	1.9	0.56
		73%	25 points	✓	2.9	0.55
		73%	21 points	✓	7.0	0.54
		66%	16 points	✓	11.8	0.39

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.