St Kilda v Hawthorn
2025-07-05 19:40:00 +10:00
Docklands

10.14

74

14.10

94

Hawthorn won by 20 points

IN

Hastie

Webster

Hill

Stocker

Carroll

Travaglia

OUT

IN

Sicily

Worpel

Weddle

Butler

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	15 points	✓	4.6	0.42
Aggregate		68%	17 points	✓	3.4	0.44
		79%	24 points	✓	3.8	0.65
		76%	26 points	✓	6.0	0.60
		75%	23 points	✓	3.0	0.58
		75%	25 points	✓	5.1	0.58
Punters		71%	19 points	✓	0.8	0.51
		71%	22 points	✓	2.0	0.51
		71%	16 points	✓	4.2	0.50
		70%	19 points	✓	1.3	0.49
		70%	16 points	✓	4.0	0.49
		69%	17 points	✓	3.0	0.46
		69%	23 points	✓	3.0	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	4.7	0.44
		68%	17 points	✓	3.3	0.43
		67%	17 points	✓	3.0	0.43
		67%	18 points	✓	2.5	0.42
		67%	14 points	✓	6.5	0.41
		66%	15 points	✓	4.9	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	5.9	0.40
		66%	15 points	✓	5.0	0.39
		65%	16 points	✓	4.0	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	6.3	0.37
		65%	13 points	✓	7.2	0.37
		64%	11 points	✓	8.7	0.35
		63%	13 points	✓	6.6	0.33
		62%	5 points	✓	15.3	0.31
		56%	6 points	✓	14.3	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.