Geelong v Richmond
2025-07-05 16:15:00 +10:00
Kardinia Park

18.16

124

7.10

52

Geelong won by 72 points

IN

Stevens

Bowes

Stengle

Smith

OUT

IN

Sims

Rioli

Lalor

Green

Lynch

Lefau

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		93%	53 points	✓	19.4	0.89
Aggregate		93%	53 points	✓	18.5	0.89
		98%	63 points	✓	9.4	0.97
		97%	70 points	✓	2.0	0.96
Punters		96%	60 points	✓	11.7	0.95
		96%	65 points	✓	6.6	0.94
		96%	50 points	✓	21.6	0.93
		95%	58 points	✓	14.4	0.93
		95%	54 points	✓	17.9	0.93
		95%	56 points	✓	16.0	0.93
		95%	53 points	✓	18.9	0.93
		95%	62 points	✓	10.0	0.93
		95%	64 points	✓	8.0	0.92
		95%	51 points	✓	20.9	0.92
		94%	60 points	✓	11.9	0.91
		94%	50 points	✓	22.0	0.90
		94%	53 points	✓	19.5	0.90
		93%	52 points	✓	20.0	0.90
		93%	35 points	✓	37.0	0.89
		92%	52 points	✓	19.9	0.88
		92%	54 points	✓	18.4	0.87
		91%	58 points	✓	14.0	0.86
		91%	53 points	✓	19.2	0.86
		90%	51 points	✓	21.0	0.85
		89%	44 points	✓	28.0	0.84
		89%	60 points	✓	12.0	0.84
		88%	38 points	✓	34.0	0.82
		73%	25 points	✓	47.3	0.54

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.