Carlton v Collingwood
2025-07-04 19:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

8.11

59

17.13

115

Collingwood won by 56 points

IN

O'Farrell

Moir

Carroll

Evans

Cowan

Pittonet

Saad

Cincotta

Silvagni

Boyd

Young

Wilson

OUT

IN

Steele

Parker

Mitchell

Maynard

Sidebottom

Allan

Dean

West

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		70%	19 points	✓	36.8	0.49
Aggregate		71%	20 points	✓	36.3	0.51
		86%	33 points	✓	23.0	0.78
		80%	21 points	✓	35.1	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	28.0	0.66
Punters		79%	27 points	✓	29.3	0.65
		77%	21 points	✓	34.8	0.62
		76%	25 points	✓	31.3	0.60
		76%	21 points	✓	35.1	0.60
		76%	29 points	✓	27.4	0.60
		75%	27 points	✓	29.0	0.58
		74%	22 points	✓	34.0	0.57
		74%	24 points	✓	32.0	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	33.9	0.54
		71%	16 points	✓	40.5	0.50
		70%	18 points	✓	37.8	0.49
		70%	18 points	✓	38.4	0.49
		69%	18 points	✓	37.7	0.47
		69%	19 points	✓	37.0	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	40.3	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	39.1	0.46
		68%	23 points	✓	33.0	0.45
		68%	17 points	✓	38.9	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	42.0	0.42
		66%	13 points	✓	43.0	0.40
		61%	11 points	✓	45.3	0.28
		60%	10 points	✓	46.0	0.26
		55%	5 points	✓	51.1	0.13

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.