Brisbane Lions v Melbourne
Gabba
13.10
88
14.15
99
Melbourne won by 11 points
IN
Coleman
McKenna
McInerney
Berry
OUT
IN
Johnson
Melksham
Petty
van Rooyen
Tholstrup
Jefferson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
81% | 29 points | ✗ | 40.1 | -1.41 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
81% | 31 points | ✗ | 41.8 | -1.41 |
|
|
88% | 43 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -2.06 |
|
|
87% | 40 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -1.92 |
|
Punters
|
|
86% | 33 points | ✗ | 44.3 | -1.81 |
|
|
85% | 33 points | ✗ | 44.5 | -1.76 |
|
|
85% | 30 points | ✗ | 41.2 | -1.72 |
|
|
85% | 36 points | ✗ | 46.7 | -1.69 |
|
|
84% | 31 points | ✗ | 41.8 | -1.68 |
|
|
84% | 37 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.64 |
|
|
84% | 34 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -1.64 |
|
|
84% | 30 points | ✗ | 40.5 | -1.60 |
|
|
83% | 16 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -1.58 |
|
|
83% | 30 points | ✗ | 41.1 | -1.55 |
|
|
82% | 33 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -1.49 |
|
|
82% | 36 points | ✗ | 47.2 | -1.45 |
|
|
81% | 33 points | ✗ | 43.5 | -1.41 |
|
|
81% | 29 points | ✗ | 40.3 | -1.40 |
|
|
81% | 31 points | ✗ | 41.8 | -1.39 |
|
|
79% | 29 points | ✗ | 39.8 | -1.27 |
|
|
79% | 27 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -1.25 |
|
|
79% | 30 points | ✗ | 40.9 | -1.24 |
|
|
78% | 37 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.20 |
|
|
78% | 34 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -1.18 |
|
|
78% | 32 points | ✗ | 42.5 | -1.16 |
|
|
75% | 17 points | ✗ | 28.2 | -1.02 |
|
|
73% | 23 points | ✗ | 33.7 | -0.91 |
|
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 28.5 | -0.59 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.