Richmond v North Melbourne
2025-05-18 13:10:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

11.8

74

12.6

78

North Melbourne won by 4 points

IN

Smith

Trezise

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		53%	3 points	✓	0.5	0.09
Aggregate		55%	5 points	✓	0.8	0.14
		67%	17 points	✓	12.6	0.43
		66%	16 points	✓	12.0	0.40
		65%	13 points	✓	8.8	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	8.0	0.35
		62%	9 points	✓	5.0	0.30
Punters		61%	11 points	✓	6.7	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	5.6	0.28
		60%	13 points	✓	9.0	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	4.5	0.27
		59%	9 points	✓	5.4	0.25
		59%	5 points	✓	0.9	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	2.7	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	2.8	0.23
		56%	6 points	✓	2.0	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	1.0	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	1.4	0.16
		53%	3 points	✓	1.0	0.08
		53%	3 points	✓	1.3	0.08
		53%	2 points	✓	2.0	0.07
		51%	2 points	✓	2.5	0.04
		52%	1 point	✗	5.0	-0.07
		53%	3 points	✗	6.5	-0.07
		55%	4 points	✗	7.5	-0.14
		62%	9 points	✗	13.4	-0.38
		62%	9 points	✗	13.0	-0.41
		64%	11 points	✗	14.8	-0.47

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.