Collingwood v Adelaide
2025-05-17 13:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

11.12

78

10.8

68

Collingwood won by 10 points

IN

Mihocek

Maynard

Pendlebury

Moore

Schultz

Markov

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	13 points	✓	3.3	0.38
Aggregate		66%	14 points	✓	4.3	0.39
		76%	21 points	✓	10.6	0.60
		75%	24 points	✓	13.6	0.58
		72%	18 points	✓	8.4	0.52
		72%	20 points	✓	10.0	0.52
		71%	19 points	✓	9.0	0.51
		71%	20 points	✓	10.0	0.50
		70%	21 points	✓	10.6	0.48
		69%	10 points	✓	0.0	0.47
		68%	16 points	✓	6.0	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	5.6	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	6.0	0.42
		67%	18 points	✓	7.6	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	4.6	0.40
		65%	19 points	✓	9.0	0.38
		65%	16 points	✓	5.5	0.38
Punters		65%	12 points	✓	1.6	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	4.2	0.38
		65%	13 points	✓	3.2	0.38
		64%	9 points	✓	1.4	0.35
		63%	9 points	✓	1.5	0.32
		62%	17 points	✓	7.0	0.31
		60%	10 points	✓	0.3	0.27
		58%	7 points	✓	3.2	0.22
		58%	8 points	✓	2.0	0.21
		54%	4 points	✓	6.0	0.11
		54%	3 points	✓	7.1	0.10

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.