Western Bulldogs v Essendon @ Docklands

18.19

127

5.6

Western Bulldogs won by 91 points

Jones

Duryea

Poulter

Gallagher

OUT

Laverde

Hayes

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	75%	24 points	✓	66.9	0.59
Aggregate	76%	25 points	✓	65.8	0.60
	86%	39 points	✓	52.0	0.78
	85%	32 points	✓	59.1	0.77
	83%	37 points	✓	54.0	0.73
	82%	30 points	✓	61.5	0.70
	81%	30 points	✓	61.2	0.70
	80%	31 points	✓	60.0	0.68
	80%	25 points	✓	65.6	0.68
	79%	29 points	✓	62.3	0.67
	79%	29 points	✓	62.0	0.66
	78%	26 points	✓	64.7	0.65
Punters	78%	26 points	✓	65.5	0.65
	77%	26 points	✓	64.9	0.63
	77%	26 points	✓	65.3	0.62
	77%	29 points	✓	61.9	0.62
	77%	28 points	✓	63.4	0.62
	76%	18 points	✓	72.8	0.60
	75%	34 points	✓	57.0	0.59
	75%	24 points	✓	66.8	0.58
	74%	26 points	✓	64.6	0.57
	73%	20 points	✓	71.1	0.55
	71%	17 points	✓	74.0	0.50
	70%	25 points	✓	66.0	0.49
	67%	13 points	✓	77.9	0.42
	67%	14 points	✓	77.0	0.42
	65%	11 points	✓	80.0	0.38
	61%	12 points	✓	79.5	0.29

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.