Gold Coast v Hawthorn
Marrara Oval
16.8
104
15.6
96
Gold Coast won by 8 points
IN
Moyle
Swallow
Graham
Rogers
OUT
IN
Dear
Reeves
Mackenzie
Barrass
Scrimshaw
Meek
Impey
Breust
Gunston
Hustwaite
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 10.1 | -0.06 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.35 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.33 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 0.2 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.22 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.22 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.8 | 0.17 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.3 | 0.13 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 5.5 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 6.9 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 9.2 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 11.4 | -0.10 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.2 | -0.15 |
|
|
57% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.4 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.21 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.84 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.