Port Adelaide v Adelaide
Adelaide Oval
12.12
84
13.11
89
Adelaide won by 5 points
IN
Moraes
Visentini
Sinn
McEntee
Burton
Rioli
Sweet
Evans
Berry
Lorenz
OUT
IN
Hinge
Smith
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.33 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.35 |
|
|
79% | 24 points | ✓ | 19.1 | 0.66 |
|
|
77% | 29 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.62 |
|
|
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 17.7 | 0.59 |
|
|
74% | 23 points | ✓ | 17.9 | 0.57 |
|
|
73% | 17 points | ✓ | 11.5 | 0.55 |
|
|
73% | 21 points | ✓ | 15.7 | 0.54 |
|
|
72% | 22 points | ✓ | 16.6 | 0.53 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.49 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 11.9 | 0.44 |
|
|
68% | 18 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.44 |
|
Punters
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 10.6 | 0.44 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 11.5 | 0.44 |
|
|
66% | 20 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.39 |
|
|
65% | 16 points | ✓ | 10.8 | 0.38 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.36 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.30 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.30 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.17 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.41 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.