St Kilda v Carlton
2025-05-09 19:40:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

9.8

62

11.11

77

Carlton won by 15 points

IN

Phillipou

Travaglia

OUT

IN

Binns

Evans

Silvagni

Fogarty

Docherty

Carroll

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		53%	4 points	✓	11.4	0.09
Aggregate		56%	6 points	✓	9.5	0.16
		67%	15 points	✓	0.0	0.43
		67%	14 points	✓	1.0	0.42
		67%	13 points	✓	2.4	0.41
		67%	15 points	✓	0.4	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	2.4	0.41
		65%	12 points	✓	3.4	0.39
		65%	15 points	✓	0.3	0.37
		62%	11 points	✓	4.2	0.31
Punters		62%	10 points	✓	5.3	0.30
		61%	10 points	✓	5.0	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	6.2	0.27
		58%	7 points	✓	8.0	0.22
		56%	8 points	✓	7.0	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	10.0	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	9.6	0.15
		55%	6 points	✓	9.4	0.14
		55%	5 points	✓	9.5	0.12
		53%	8 points	✓	7.0	0.10
		53%	2 points	✓	13.0	0.07
		50%	0 points	✗	15.0	0.00
		52%	2 points	✗	16.5	-0.04
		53%	3 points	✗	18.2	-0.10
		53%	3 points	✗	17.6	-0.10
		58%	8 points	✗	23.0	-0.25
		63%	12 points	✗	27.0	-0.43
		64%	10 points	✗	25.0	-0.48

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.