Gold Coast v Western Bulldogs
Marrara Oval
15.16
106
14.12
96
Gold Coast won by 10 points
IN
Rosas
Fiorini
Clohesy
Long
Swallow
Weller
Budarick
Read
OUT
IN
Gallagher
Poulter
Treloar
Busslinger
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.2 | -0.07 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 15.6 | -0.18 |
|
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
70% | 14 points | ✗ | 23.8 | -0.75 |
|
|
65% | 19 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.50 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 23.1 | -0.47 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 18.5 | -0.37 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 19.2 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 18.9 | -0.32 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 14.2 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.3 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 10.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 8.6 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 8.4 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.08 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 7.4 | 0.09 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.