Melbourne v Hawthorn
2025-05-10 13:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

7.14

56

13.13

91

Hawthorn won by 35 points

IN

Jefferson

van Rooyen

Oliver

Viney

Petty

Melksham

OUT

IN

Amon

Barrass

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		73%	22 points	✓	13.4	0.54
Aggregate		73%	22 points	✓	13.2	0.55
		88%	42 points	✓	7.0	0.82
		80%	27 points	✓	8.2	0.68
		78%	27 points	✓	7.7	0.64
		77%	22 points	✓	13.1	0.62
		76%	27 points	✓	8.4	0.61
Punters		76%	18 points	✓	16.7	0.61
		76%	25 points	✓	10.0	0.60
		75%	28 points	✓	7.0	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	11.8	0.57
		74%	19 points	✓	16.2	0.57
		74%	23 points	✓	11.8	0.56
		74%	26 points	✓	8.7	0.56
		74%	17 points	✓	18.3	0.56
		74%	21 points	✓	13.6	0.56
		74%	22 points	✓	13.5	0.56
		73%	24 points	✓	11.0	0.55
		71%	21 points	✓	14.4	0.51
		71%	22 points	✓	12.6	0.51
		71%	17 points	✓	18.0	0.50
		71%	18 points	✓	17.0	0.50
		70%	25 points	✓	10.0	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	17.8	0.47
		69%	19 points	✓	16.0	0.46
		69%	15 points	✓	20.5	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	18.8	0.45
		55%	5 points	✓	30.0	0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.