Fremantle v Collingwood
2025-05-08 20:10:00 +10:00
Perth Stadium

12.11

83

15.7

97

Collingwood won by 14 points

IN

Simpson

Voss

Erasmus

Young

Draper

Narkle

OUT

IN

Allan

Sullivan

Markov

Howe

Pendlebury

De Goey

Maynard

Mihocek

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		60%	9 points	✓	4.9	0.26
Aggregate		60%	9 points	✓	5.2	0.26
		67%	13 points	✓	1.1	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	0.2	0.40
		64%	13 points	✓	1.0	0.36
		63%	8 points	✓	5.7	0.34
		63%	13 points	✓	1.2	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	2.2	0.33
		63%	13 points	✓	1.0	0.33
		63%	12 points	✓	2.0	0.33
		63%	12 points	✓	1.6	0.33
		63%	12 points	✓	1.9	0.33
		63%	10 points	✓	4.5	0.32
		62%	13 points	✓	1.3	0.32
		62%	10 points	✓	3.5	0.31
		62%	9 points	✓	4.7	0.30
		59%	7 points	✓	7.0	0.23
		59%	9 points	✓	5.2	0.23
		59%	7 points	✓	6.7	0.23
		59%	7 points	✓	7.0	0.23
		59%	11 points	✓	3.0	0.23
		56%	5 points	✓	8.9	0.17
		55%	4 points	✓	10.0	0.15
		55%	8 points	✓	6.0	0.14
		55%	5 points	✓	9.0	0.14
Punters		54%	4 points	✓	10.2	0.11
		51%	1 point	✓	13.3	0.02
		54%	4 points	✗	18.0	-0.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.