Essendon v Sydney
Docklands
11.5
71
8.15
63
Essendon won by 8 points
IN
Hayes
Day-Wicks
El-Hawli
Shiel
Caldwell
Gresham
Ridley
Jones
Menzie
Tsatas
OUT
IN
Paton
Melican
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 17.1 | -0.31 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
74% | 27 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 19.5 | -0.49 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 18.4 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 15.8 | -0.37 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 16.6 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 15.6 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 16.9 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 14.7 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.24 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 14.4 | -0.23 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.4 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.1 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 10.7 | -0.11 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 8.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 9.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.05 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 5.8 | 0.07 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.