Hawthorn v West Coast
2025-04-27 16:45:00 +10:00
Docklands

18.16

124

11.8

74

Hawthorn won by 50 points

IN

Macdonald

Hustwaite

Ginnivan

Nash

Breust

Jiath

OUT

IN

Long

Cole

Allen

Kelly

Edwards

Gross

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		90%	49 points	✓	0.5	0.85
Aggregate		91%	52 points	✓	1.5	0.87
		98%	78 points	✓	28.0	0.97
		97%	58 points	✓	7.5	0.96
		95%	65 points	✓	15.0	0.93
Punters		95%	57 points	✓	6.9	0.92
		94%	53 points	✓	2.8	0.92
		94%	59 points	✓	9.3	0.91
		94%	54 points	✓	4.4	0.91
		94%	53 points	✓	2.5	0.90
		93%	47 points	✓	3.5	0.89
		93%	46 points	✓	3.7	0.89
		92%	52 points	✓	1.8	0.89
		92%	52 points	✓	2.1	0.88
		92%	54 points	✓	4.4	0.88
		92%	51 points	✓	1.0	0.88
		92%	56 points	✓	5.8	0.88
		92%	48 points	✓	2.0	0.87
		91%	52 points	✓	2.0	0.87
		91%	65 points	✓	15.0	0.86
		91%	52 points	✓	1.6	0.86
		90%	51 points	✓	1.0	0.85
		90%	53 points	✓	3.0	0.85
		89%	45 points	✓	4.7	0.84
		88%	32 points	✓	17.6	0.81
		87%	48 points	✓	1.6	0.80
		82%	35 points	✓	15.2	0.71
		72%	24 points	✓	26.1	0.53

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.