Carlton v Geelong
M.C.G.
14.10
94
12.4
76
Carlton won by 18 points
IN
McKay
Young
OUT
IN
Wiltshire
Clark
Mullin
Miers
Knevitt
Clohesy
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 26.2 | -0.30 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.18 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 34.6 | -0.60 |
|
|
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.49 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 24.5 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 26.8 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.2 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.4 | -0.23 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 21.6 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.1 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 20.6 | -0.13 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.06 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 18.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 17.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 15.9 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 15.4 | 0.08 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.15 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.