Collingwood v Essendon @ M.C.G.

16.11

107

10.6

Collingwood won by 41 points

Sullivan

Membrey

Houston

Moore

Cox

Allan

OUT

Goldstein

Langford

Draper

El-Hawli

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	77%	26 points	✓	15.2	0.62
Aggregate	75%	24 points	✓	16.9	0.59
	86%	42 points	✓	0.6	0.78
	84%	31 points	✓	10.5	0.74
	82%	24 points	✓	16.7	0.71
	80%	31 points	✓	10.0	0.68
	80%	29 points	✓	11.7	0.68
Punters	79%	24 points	✓	16.8	0.66
	79%	26 points	✓	14.6	0.65
	77%	22 points	✓	18.5	0.63
	77%	27 points	✓	13.8	0.63
	77%	24 points	✓	17.0	0.63
	76%	24 points	✓	17.4	0.61
	76%	24 points	✓	16.7	0.60
	75%	28 points	✓	13.0	0.58
	74%	21 points	✓	20.1	0.57
	74%	26 points	✓	15.0	0.57
	74%	23 points	✓	17.8	0.57
	74%	19 points	✓	22.1	0.56
	73%	20 points	✓	21.0	0.55
	73%	21 points	✓	19.8	0.55
	73%	30 points	✓	11.0	0.54
	73%	17 points	✓	24.0	0.54
	72%	20 points	✓	21.1	0.52
	70%	26 points	✓	15.0	0.49
	70%	19 points	✓	22.0	0.49
	70%	17 points	✓	23.8	0.48
	60%	10 points	✓	30.9	0.26

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.