Fremantle v Adelaide
Perth Stadium
12.13
85
9.13
67
Fremantle won by 18 points
IN
Narkle
Chapman
Wagner
O'Meara
Banfield
Aish
OUT
IN
Peatling
Rachele
Fogarty
Berry
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 17.7 | 0.04 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 14.8 | 0.11 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.48 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 6.4 | 0.39 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.32 |
|
|
59% | 1 point | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 10.7 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 10.4 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 12.3 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 11.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 11.3 | 0.18 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 13.3 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 13.2 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 14.2 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 15.5 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 16.1 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.7 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.10 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.10 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 22.8 | -0.19 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 37.2 | -0.72 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.