St Kilda v Brisbane Lions
2025-04-26 13:20:00 +10:00
Docklands

11.7

73

17.16

118

Brisbane Lions won by 45 points

IN

Keeler

Howard

Henry

Schoenmaker

OUT

IN

Gardiner

Lohmann

Payne

Marshall

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		61%	11 points	✓	33.9	0.29
Aggregate		60%	10 points	✓	35.4	0.26
		71%	22 points	✓	23.0	0.51
		69%	21 points	✓	24.0	0.46
		67%	13 points	✓	32.0	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	30.3	0.41
		65%	16 points	✓	29.2	0.39
Punters		65%	14 points	✓	31.3	0.38
		64%	13 points	✓	32.4	0.37
		64%	14 points	✓	31.0	0.36
		63%	10 points	✓	35.0	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	34.2	0.32
		62%	11 points	✓	33.6	0.31
		62%	11 points	✓	34.0	0.31
		61%	17 points	✓	28.0	0.30
		61%	11 points	✓	34.0	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	36.0	0.27
		60%	8 points	✓	37.2	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	36.4	0.23
		59%	7 points	✓	38.5	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	38.0	0.21
		56%	5 points	✓	39.9	0.16
		54%	3 points	✓	41.6	0.11
		52%	3 points	✓	41.9	0.04
		51%	1 point	✓	43.7	0.04
		51%	0 points	✓	45.0	0.02
		51%	1 point	✓	44.0	0.02
		52%	2 points	✗	47.1	-0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.