Greater Western Sydney v Western Bulldogs
Manuka Oval
12.9
81
17.11
113
Western Bulldogs won by 32 points
IN
Hogan
Brown
OUT
IN
Busslinger
Harmes
Vandermeer
Jones
Darcy
McNeil
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 39.5 | -0.29 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 36.2 | -0.14 |
|
|
71% | 23 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 50.2 | -0.67 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.67 |
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 41.5 | -0.45 |
|
Punters
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 42.3 | -0.42 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 14 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 40.1 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 39.6 | -0.24 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 35.3 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 36.3 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 35.8 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 34.9 | -0.10 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 34.1 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 33.5 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 33.5 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 32.7 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 32.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 9 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 30.9 | 0.04 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 26.6 | 0.12 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✓ | 22.1 | 0.18 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✓ | 19.3 | 0.42 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.