Fremantle v Western Bulldogs
Perth Stadium
15.7
97
12.9
81
Fremantle won by 16 points
IN
Wagner
O'Meara
Aish
Erasmus
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 15.6 | 0.00 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.9 | 0.03 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.29 |
|
Punters
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 8.7 | 0.26 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.4 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.3 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 10.5 | 0.15 |
|
|
54% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 12.9 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 12.9 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.2 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.8 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.7 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 15.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 15.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.4 | -0.05 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.8 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.5 | -0.09 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
73% | 23 points | ✗ | 39.3 | -0.90 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.